Not really... that's why credit checks go back a minimum of 7 years: "Wow, you trashed the shit out of your credit six years ago, but now you're doing OK. Still, we have no reason to believe you won't trash it again, so even though you look pretty good at the moment, TFB. See if you can maintain this trend for a couple years now that you've got that higher-paying job, but your history shows you'll end up living beyond your means again and will have credit trouble again shortly."
I demolished more than half the interior of my house, and with it still in that state it appraised for more than the amount I paid to own it when the market went soft. Housing prices may stagnate, and they may even dip a little here and there, but they never, ever drop and stay there. What's the standard balloon? 15 years? I've never heard of one less than five, and that guy had extraordinarily bad credit in the first place.
When I bought this place my credit was horrible... that's why I bought this place. It was cheap, and I knew that I could make the payments if I had to flip burgers to do it. The bank through which I went realized why my credit was bad (divorce) but had enough faith in me to take on the mortgage if only because they knew me personally.
On the other hand, in the last few years Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have been giving away mortgages like it ain't no thang...
including refinancing. They refinanced a friend's house out to $55,000, even though the place is worth $30K on its best day.... they tossed in the extra for improvements he'll never make. He did the refinance because he wanted a truck, which he got by using the "improvement" money. If he defaults on the loan, his credit may go to hell and he'll lose the house, but the truck is his and no one can touch it, because he paid green cash money he got from Fannie Mae. He accomplished this even though his credit rating was worse at the time than mine has
ever been. He'd been in foreclosure twice on that very property
twice within the last 7 years.
At no point did anyone say, "We're gonna check back in a year, and if those improvements haven't been made, we're gonna go
Mogul on your ass."
They gave away money that they had no way of covering or recovering. He's not even close to being the only case of such stupidity. Sad thing is, now that I'm considering doing a refi to legitimately improve my home, I probably won't be able to do so because of loans like that.